Thoughts synonym series#

For example, confirmation bias produces systematic errors in scientific research based on inductive reasoning (the gradual accumulation of supportive evidence). These biases contribute to overconfidence in personal beliefs and can maintain or strengthen beliefs in the face of contrary evidence. Another proposal is that people show confirmation bias because they are pragmatically assessing the costs of being wrong, rather than investigating in a neutral, scientific way.įlawed decisions due to confirmation bias have been found in a wide range of political, organizational, financial and scientific contexts.

Explanations for the observed biases include wishful thinking and the limited human capacity to process information. Later work re-interpreted these results as a tendency to test ideas in a one-sided way, focusing on one possibility and ignoring alternatives.

Thoughts synonym series#

illusory correlation (when people falsely perceive an association between two events or situations).Ī series of psychological experiments in the 1960s suggested that people are biased toward confirming their existing beliefs.

the irrational primacy effect (a greater reliance on information encountered early in a series).

belief perseverance (when beliefs persist after the evidence for them is shown to be false).

attitude polarization (when a disagreement becomes more extreme even though the different parties are exposed to the same evidence).

Confirmation bias cannot be eliminated, but it can be managed, for example, by education and training in critical thinking skills.īiased search for information, biased interpretation of this information, and biased memory recall, have been invoked to explain four specific effects:

The effect is strongest for desired outcomes, for emotionally charged issues, and for deeply entrenched beliefs. People display this bias when they select information that supports their views, ignoring contrary information, or when they interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing attitudes. Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms or supports one's prior beliefs or values.